0x6456ab288883a0e3a4b50dca04b1938b39101687
- Realised P&L
- $-263.33
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $7.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.895 | $5.50 | +$2.67 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.415 | $1.54 | −$2.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.02at 0.419Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET
- +$73.46at 0.431Solana Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET
- +$44.64at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$37.17at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$37.03at 0.335Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 07:33 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.08 |
| 08-30 23:29 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.05 |
| 08-26 23:02 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.11 |
| 08-26 23:01 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.72 |
| 08-22 05:11 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.34 |
| 08-21 22:26 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.02 |
| 08-21 20:21 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.04 |
| 08-21 02:28 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.02 |
| 08-20 18:07 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.07 |
| 07-28 13:32 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.38 |
| 07-28 01:07 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $0.04 |
| 07-24 13:08 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.25 |
| 07-01 02:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 07-01 02:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.00 |
| 07-01 02:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.00 |