0x6456ab288883a0e3a4b50dca04b1938b39101687
0x6456ab288883a0e3a4b50dca04b1938b39101687
- Realised P&L
- $-368.14
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $6.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.933 | $4.64 | +$2.35 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.525 | $1.92 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.32at 0.317Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET
- +$20.28at 0.266Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
- +$16.55at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$12.68at 0.236Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
- +$12.59at 0.117Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-31 16:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-30 13:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.01 |
| 10-30 13:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.01 |
| 10-29 22:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 08:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.25 |
| 10-27 12:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.01 |
| 10-26 09:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.10 |
| 10-26 08:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.11 |
| 10-15 03:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 22:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 15:21 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.17 |
| 10-13 00:51 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.94 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.02 |
| 09-07 07:33 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.08 |