Directed
0x6456745d9dd1659cb285908e38da141f15894437
- Realised P&L
- $-16.16
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $42.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.66at 0.390Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$13.67at 0.594Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$12.99at 0.278Yoon in jail before July?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?
- +$11.67at 0.710US government shutdown in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:23 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.192853699 | $54.00 |
| 12-29 18:23 | Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? | BUY | 0.4500587924 | $21.18 |
| 12-29 18:20 | Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 12-29 18:10 | Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 12-29 18:08 | Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | SELL | 0.3426822682 | $7.61 |
| 12-29 18:06 | Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 12-29 18:06 | Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.4808446827 | $5.00 |
| 12-29 18:06 | Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.6599999296 | $3.00 |
| 12-29 18:04 | Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 18:03 | Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 12-29 18:03 | Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 12-29 18:03 | Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | BUY | 0.6851661528 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 14:04 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET? | BUY | 0.2299999801 | $7.76 |
| 10-01 14:04 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3? | SELL | 0.0658750438 | $7.53 |
| 10-01 14:03 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3? | BUY | 0.069999992 | $8.00 |