PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Directed

0x6456745d9dd1659cb285908e38da141f15894437

Realised P&L
$-16.16
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$42.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.1930.150$42.00−$12.00
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on December 31? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will anyone say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during Apple launch event on September 9? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will JD Vance say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 5+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$2.00
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$7.76
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "Japan" during events with South Korean president on August 25? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in August? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$7.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:23US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.192853699$54.00
12-29 18:23Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?BUY0.4500587924$21.18
12-29 18:20Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on December 31?BUY0.5599999989$20.00
12-29 18:10Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
12-29 18:08Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?SELL0.3426822682$7.61
12-29 18:06Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.7599999595$3.00
12-29 18:06Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.4808446827$5.00
12-29 18:06Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.6599999296$3.00
12-29 18:04Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
12-29 18:03Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.289999964$5.00
12-29 18:03Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
12-29 18:03Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?BUY0.6851661528$20.00
10-01 14:04Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?BUY0.2299999801$7.76
10-01 14:04Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?SELL0.0658750438$7.53
10-01 14:03Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?BUY0.069999992$8.00