sirluca888
0x64511822c851d4d56d8c6e5376ecfd724c36b57a
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $347.7k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $767.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.419 | 0.420 | $767.08 | +$0.93 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$578.22 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$494.56 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Seattle Mariners | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$293.88 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.71 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Texas Rangers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.92 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$989.97 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays · San Diego Padres | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$969.63 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$173.83 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Baltimore Orioles | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$979.59 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Angels | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.73 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.456 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$969.66 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$969.76 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$968.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.389Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- +$1.5kat 0.401Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$1.5kat 0.415Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$1.4kat 0.422Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
- +$1.4kat 0.418Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:30 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.42 | $163.05 |
| 09-17 23:22 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.42 | $565.01 |
| 09-17 23:17 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.41 | $38.09 |
| 09-13 23:04 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 23:00 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:57 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:53 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:50 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:46 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:43 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:39 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:35 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:32 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:28 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 09-13 22:25 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.45 | $9.78 |