0x644f61f163dd2446e90af5cf76cab5ba865c02b3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.20
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $26.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.105 | $10.50 | −$6.50 |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.035 | $9.66 | +$3.24 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $6.75 | −$2.25 |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.80at 0.216USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$22.52at 0.370Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$10.15at 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$6.77at 0.707Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
- +$4.65at 0.630Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 06:51 | GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.088 | $9.72 |
| 07-09 06:51 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 07-09 06:49 | GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.086 | $2.15 |
| 07-09 06:48 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.40 |
| 05-19 11:00 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 05-19 10:58 | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 05-19 06:51 | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.22 |
| 05-03 00:30 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.16 |
| 04-28 06:24 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.38 |
| 04-26 01:28 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 04-26 01:27 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.70 |
| 04-26 01:27 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.76 |
| 04-21 06:37 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.216 | $23.95 |
| 04-21 06:15 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.30 |
| 04-19 07:47 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.079 | $4.74 |