fourtrader2222
0x644ced68d9f30799de5c5afcb1022c8194919b6a
- Realised P&L
- $828.26
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,807
- Open portfolio
- $4.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,807
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.02at 0.026Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$78.34at 0.328Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?
- +$60.23at 0.848Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$45.08at 0.060Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$42.56at 0.090Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:20 | Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 08-08 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 08-08 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on August 10? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-08 06:06 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-08 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-08 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 40°C or higher on August 9? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-08 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-08 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-08 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-08 05:27 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-08 05:27 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 08-08 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-08 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-08 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-08 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |