PolyBot

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Traders

fourtrader2222

0x644ced68d9f30799de5c5afcb1022c8194919b6a

Realised P&L
$828.26
Volume
$30.4k
Markets traded
1,807
Open portfolio
$4.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,807
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.298$0.31+$0.30
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.255$0.26+$0.25
Will Sea of Remnants win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will Wuthering Waves win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will Digimon Up win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will Azur Promilia win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will Honkai: Nexus Anima win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will The Division Resurgence win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0260.011$0.21$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 9? · Yes0.0910.015$0.15$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 9? · Yes0.0910.030$0.15$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 10? · Yes0.0910.016$0.08$0.37
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 8? · Yes0.0910.007$0.07$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 9? · Yes0.0910.015$0.07$0.38
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 8? · Yes0.0910.007$0.07$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 06:20Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.27$1.08
08-08 06:17Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10?SELL0.03$0.30
08-08 06:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on August 10?SELL0.01$0.10
08-08 06:06Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 8?SELL0.01$0.10
08-08 06:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 10?SELL0.33$1.65
08-08 06:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 40°C or higher on August 9?SELL0.001$0.01
08-08 06:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9?SELL0.16$0.80
08-08 06:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9?SELL0.34$1.70
08-08 06:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?SELL0.3$1.50
08-08 05:27Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8?BUY0.24$2.40
08-08 05:27Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 8?BUY0.7$1.40
08-08 05:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 8?BUY0.85$4.25
08-08 05:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 10?BUY0.93$4.65
08-08 05:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?BUY0.95$4.75
08-08 04:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10?BUY0.87$8.70