PolyBot

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Traders

thrivinginmydelusion

0x644c1f46672fa83a0c5f76332638243abf8a2a27

Realised P&L
$-1.63
Volume
$779.02
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$7.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0710.164$2.30+$1.30
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0670.055$1.65$0.35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5300.585$1.11+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? · Yes0.6210.630$1.00+$0.01
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2500.145$0.58$0.42
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? · Yes0.1500.055$0.37$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 12:29Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.51$1.18
06-03 13:35Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.811$2.09
06-03 13:35Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.106$0.18
04-29 23:57Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
04-28 16:26Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?BUY0.63$1.00
04-21 12:05Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0959999194$1.00
04-21 12:05Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.3869998119$1.00
04-21 12:04Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
04-14 14:33Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.6$0.98
04-14 14:32Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.051000003$1.00
04-13 01:17Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.995$1.53
04-12 21:38Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.992$1.32
04-12 12:23Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.64$0.98
04-12 04:14Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.9399999624$0.99
04-12 04:11Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.75$1.00