Lobo2
0x641511b506c0dd738b21ffe1c120061afdccf1ab
- Realised P&L
- $-19.58
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 625
- Open portfolio
- $36.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded625
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$1.39at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$0.96at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$0.93at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$0.86at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 05:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:31 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.03 |
| 10-17 09:54 | Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:52 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:44 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.16 |
| 10-17 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 18:47 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 17:57 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 03:09 | Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 03:06 | Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.06 |
| 10-09 18:46 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:50 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.9389997587 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:37 | Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |