PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aotem

0x64087b7b7df388225bd08605eb295faa1a49d9db

Realised P&L
$-86.24
Volume
$69.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$17.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes0.2500.135$17.55$14.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 03:46 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?SELL0.78$24.96
06-08 08:14 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.76$57.00
03-30 06:05Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?SELL0.7460023263$6.0k
03-30 03:51Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?BUY0.744$9.9k
01-21 07:16Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?SELL0.753$2.4k
01-21 03:25Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?BUY0.765$2.5k
10-13 06:25Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-13?BUY0.8399999939$11.00
03-24 03:57Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?BUY0.6699999994$23.65
03-24 03:48Will the next Pope be from Oceania?SELL0.99$44.06
03-24 03:47Will the next Pope be from Oceania?BUY0.992$44.16
01-13 03:03Warriors vs. RaptorsBUY0.3699999855$12.00
01-13 02:58Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?SELL0.991$23.73
01-13 02:57Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?BUY0.9919999953$23.76
01-13 02:50Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?SELL0.983$23.76
01-13 02:50Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.9839999997$23.79