aotem
0x64087b7b7df388225bd08605eb295faa1a49d9db
- Realised P&L
- $-86.24
- Volume
- $69.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $17.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.135 | $17.55 | −$14.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.52at 0.744Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$20.43at 0.370Warriors vs. Raptors
- +$11.65at 0.670Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?
- +$10.96at 0.760 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
- +$2.10at 0.840Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 03:46 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $24.96 |
| 06-08 08:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $57.00 |
| 03-30 06:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.7460023263 | $6.0k |
| 03-30 03:51 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.744 | $9.9k |
| 01-21 07:16 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | SELL | 0.753 | $2.4k |
| 01-21 03:25 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | BUY | 0.765 | $2.5k |
| 10-13 06:25 | Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-13? | BUY | 0.8399999939 | $11.00 |
| 03-24 03:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28? | BUY | 0.6699999994 | $23.65 |
| 03-24 03:48 | Will the next Pope be from Oceania? | SELL | 0.99 | $44.06 |
| 03-24 03:47 | Will the next Pope be from Oceania? | BUY | 0.992 | $44.16 |
| 01-13 03:03 | Warriors vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.3699999855 | $12.00 |
| 01-13 02:58 | Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring? | SELL | 0.991 | $23.73 |
| 01-13 02:57 | Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring? | BUY | 0.9919999953 | $23.76 |
| 01-13 02:50 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.983 | $23.76 |
| 01-13 02:50 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9839999997 | $23.79 |