L2025
0x64082079d254866c4ca3287059e942539739c7ae
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $599.9k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.255 | $2.5k | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.631 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.20 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.25 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.50 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in August? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.99 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$212.00 |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.71 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.835Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.2kat 0.759Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.450Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.356Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$955.68at 0.753Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 04:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $518.00 |
| 08-23 04:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $617.90 |
| 08-23 04:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $840.00 |
| 08-23 03:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 08-22 06:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $108.00 |
| 08-22 06:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $89.59 |
| 08-22 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.1k |
| 08-22 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.3k |
| 08-22 06:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-22 05:56 | Will Solana dip to $80 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.99 |
| 08-05 00:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.802818 | $40.14 |
| 08-05 00:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $87.59 |
| 08-03 00:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.031 | $25.75 |
| 08-03 00:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | SELL | 0.33 | $109.92 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.059 | $55.52 |