0x6406a6fdd40772fdb6b22d4c885a4193bcde5e70
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.011 | $262.89 | +$7.92 |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.038 | $238.92 | −$16.08 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $216.97 | −$43.37 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $209.06 | −$2.87 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $207.19 | −$47.80 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.36 |
| 11-01 15:32 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? | BUY | 0.008 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 15:32 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? | BUY | 0.008 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.009 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.011 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.0419999999 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 15:13 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? | BUY | 0.0075545235 | $186.97 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? | BUY | 0.008 | $230.00 |
| 11-01 15:10 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.009 | $205.00 |
| 11-01 15:09 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.0101033122 | $230.00 |
| 11-01 15:09 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.0404070538 | $230.00 |
| 11-01 14:36 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.009 | $26.00 |