Sikter
0x63ff596ae1e4302acf65da2439eb90cacacd8f1d
- Realised P&L
- $14.34
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $36.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.33at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$9.87at 0.469Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
- +$5.38at 0.650Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$5.20at 0.490US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$2.91at 0.630US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:00 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 10-02 15:57 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 10:18 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 09-25 10:16 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.41 | $10.25 |
| 09-09 23:14 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.2282747132 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 12:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 04-12 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $1.86 |
| 03-28 11:33 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 19:09 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 11:01 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $0.98 |
| 02-20 15:44 | US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 15:37 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.64 |
| 02-19 22:18 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |