dylanmclaughlin
0x63fc275a41cdcc41007f114b402881db9792daf7
- Realised P&L
- $0.96
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $125.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.965 | $106.54 | −$1.60 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No | 0.996 | 0.957 | $18.88 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.32at 0.610Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
- +$1.01at 0.992Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.985Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$0.71at 0.750Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.985Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:30 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.66 |
| 08-12 12:07 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 07-17 10:21 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $108.14 |
| 05-11 18:36 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $125.54 |
| 04-20 13:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $72.47 |
| 04-16 09:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.84 |
| 04-09 15:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.38 |
| 04-09 13:08 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | BUY | 0.8899999694 | $2.33 |
| 04-02 20:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.994 | $75.25 |
| 04-02 17:29 | Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999911 | $2.81 |
| 04-02 16:37 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.13 |
| 04-02 15:51 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499998087 | $1.15 |
| 04-02 15:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.9839999898 | $46.34 |
| 03-30 10:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.27 |
| 03-26 16:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29? | BUY | 0.996 | $120.24 |