0x63fbd664ca483b06a907d7a82764eeaa681a63e3
0x63fbd664ca483b06a907d7a82764eeaa681a63e3
- Realised P&L
- $-17.46
- Volume
- $94.01
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $0.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.280 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.56at 0.560US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$0.98at 0.670Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
- +$0.90at 0.679Will Boeing say "Iran" during earnings call?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:33 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:44 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:03 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 18:28 | Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.219999927 | $1.99 |
| 08-13 15:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.2399999276 | $1.99 |
| 08-13 07:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? | BUY | 0.4099999238 | $1.99 |
| 08-07 10:37 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.614999949 | $1.99 |
| 08-03 01:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4499998982 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 17:16 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4679999577 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 07:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999676 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 07:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999437 | $1.99 |
| 08-01 22:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.99 |