Nsawersaq
0x63ef38569c0f43dcbd30c62f04bbdd0173879b40
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $152.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar32.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.975 | $54.14 | −$0.02 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No | 0.984 | 0.982 | $46.51 | −$0.12 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? · No | 0.980 | 0.794 | $39.16 | −$9.14 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.935 | 0.875 | $13.13 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.480Brewers vs. Reds
- +$2.21at 0.910S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.61at 0.968Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$0.47at 0.943Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.20at 0.988Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 09:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $48.71 |
| 04-01 07:14 | S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.76 |