PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nsawersaq

0x63ef38569c0f43dcbd30c62f04bbdd0173879b40

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$152.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar32.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No0.9750.975$54.14$0.02
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.9840.982$46.51$0.12
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? · No0.9800.794$39.16$9.14
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.9350.875$13.13$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 09:58Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.963$48.71
04-01 07:14S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL0.999$24.76