yuX-020
0x63ebe2863afc5b9a05d874b575de6ccf03dee09e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.88
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.957 | $1.15 | +$0.06 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.84at 0.730Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?
- +$0.68at 0.880Kamala Sun Belt swing state sweep?
- +$0.47at 0.772Will Rami leave Babymonster?
- +$0.17at 0.920Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?
- +$0.07at 0.960Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 06:14 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.70 |
| 07-16 08:06 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 05-08 05:17 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $90.09 |
| 05-05 12:14 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 05-05 12:14 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $89.73 |
| 05-05 12:14 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 03-27 09:32 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.992 | $219.78 |
| 03-27 09:32 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $200.98 |
| 03-26 13:13 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.993 | $220.00 |
| 03-26 13:12 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 03-26 13:12 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.99126725 | $198.25 |
| 03-26 13:11 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 03-03 06:12 | Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.993 | $231.14 |
| 03-03 06:11 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.999 | $214.99 |
| 03-01 05:53 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $215.00 |