cryptopred
0x63e0419ea23d53e2d916b93e11ab66720ba7bfd9
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $73.6k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.190Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.465Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
- +$700.52at 0.850Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$568.00at 0.270Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$350.84at 0.291Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 05:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 09-11 11:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 09-11 09:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 02:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-10 01:19 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2351876 | $58.80 |
| 09-10 01:12 | LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 13:16 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 06:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-07 09:16 | Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.36 |
| 09-06 06:31 | Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $40.80 |
| 09-03 08:55 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $17.48 |
| 09-01 13:26 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-01 08:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-01 05:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-01 03:35 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $15.41 |