0x63D63c3BcFc4FD7A80aF2CDf0c8Bbf77043b8c6E-1783087587249
0x63d63c3bcfc4fd7a80af2cdf0c8bbf77043b8c6e
- Realised P&L
- $847.52
- Volume
- $104.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,507
- Open portfolio
- $0.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,507
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.215 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up | 0.481 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.36 |
| Will América de Cali vs. AD Pasto end in a draw? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.49at 0.101Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$122.36at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$119.60at 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$104.54at 0.203Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$96.98at 0.141Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:53 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:55 | Will América de Cali vs. AD Pasto end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4399999694 | $2.88 |
| 09-13 18:26 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.29 | $1.30 |
| 09-13 17:11 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.4199999509 | $1.88 |
| 09-12 21:35 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $2.08 |
| 09-11 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $0.04 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $0.18 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $0.27 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $0.11 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $0.64 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $0.07 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $0.04 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $0.11 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $0.11 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |