degenSigma
0x63cf3a3415fd1ac02f24c5fb731f45d967d7d155
- Realised P&L
- $-122.58
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 449
- Open portfolio
- $13.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded449
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.14at 0.085Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$42.63at 0.190Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
- +$20.85at 0.590Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$20.22at 0.690Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$19.63at 0.203Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:23 | ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 07-30 16:21 | Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.45 |
| 07-30 16:21 | Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.71 |
| 07-30 16:20 | Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.48 | $3.36 |
| 07-30 16:14 | KF Shkëndija 79 vs. NK Bravo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $3.85 |
| 07-30 16:12 | AFC Ajax vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 07-30 16:10 | MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. AEK Lárnakas: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 07-30 16:07 | ETO FC vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 07-30 16:06 | SK Brann vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $4.13 |
| 07-30 16:04 | FK Dynama-Minsk vs. Neftçi PFK: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 07-30 16:03 | Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-30? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.40 |
| 07-30 16:02 | Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 07-30 15:52 | FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.64 | $4.48 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Spread: Noah FA (-1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $3.42 |
| 07-30 15:48 | FK Jablonec vs. NK Varaždin: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.51 | $3.57 |