degenSigma
0x63cf3a3415fd1ac02f24c5fb731f45d967d7d155
- Realised P&L
- $-92.78
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 576
- Open portfolio
- $48.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded576
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.14at 0.085Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$42.63at 0.190Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
- +$20.85at 0.590Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$20.22at 0.690Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$19.63at 0.203Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:28 | Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.104 | $0.97 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 09-17 16:31 | AFC Wimbledon vs. Milton Keynes Dons FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 16:31 | Will AFC Wimbledon win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 16:30 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 16:29 | Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-17 16:27 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 09-17 16:25 | PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 09-14 11:45 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 08-20 16:41 | K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $3.99 |
| 08-20 16:38 | KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 08-20 16:37 | Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 08-20 16:36 | Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 08-19 13:35 | Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-19 08:19 | Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $3.30 |