PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

degenSigma

0x63cf3a3415fd1ac02f24c5fb731f45d967d7d155

Realised P&L
$-92.78
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
576
Open portfolio
$48.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded576
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.215$10.75+$4.75
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.5980.475$9.50$2.46
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.125$6.25+$0.25
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.7500.470$4.70$2.80
Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.0800.225$4.50+$2.90
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4100.415$4.15+$0.05
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.1040.105$2.10+$0.02
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League? · Yes0.1100.105$2.10$0.10
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.1100.070$1.40$0.80
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0920.059$1.18$0.66
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0500.055$1.10+$0.10
Will Igor Thiago (Brentford) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.0900.019$0.38$1.42
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0920.004$0.11$2.19
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0460.003$0.06$1.09
Will AFC Wimbledon win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:28Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?BUY0.104$0.97
09-17 16:36Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.41$4.10
09-17 16:31AFC Wimbledon vs. Milton Keynes Dons FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.51$2.55
09-17 16:31Will AFC Wimbledon win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.35$2.10
09-17 16:30Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5BUY0.6$6.00
09-17 16:29Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.59$5.90
09-17 16:27Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.56$4.48
09-17 16:25PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5BUY0.58$4.64
09-14 11:45Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.54$4.32
08-20 16:41K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5BUY0.57$3.99
08-20 16:38KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5BUY0.45$3.60
08-20 16:37Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5BUY0.49$3.92
08-20 16:36Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)BUY0.73$4.38
08-19 13:35Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.08$1.60
08-19 08:19Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.55$3.30