robertaenos
0x63c7ba3a3b92b0f1748100de276de2c4532d04d7
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $189.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.983 | $55.49 | +$1.84 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-05 House seat? · No | 0.974 | 0.984 | $54.62 | +$0.56 |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $53.44 | −$0.29 |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.923 | 0.505 | $25.76 | −$21.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.250Solana Up or Down on May 13?
- +$700.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on July 12?
- +$500.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?
- +$384.15at 0.610Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
- +$205.82at 0.590League of Legends: Team WE vs. FunPlus Phoenix
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:25 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | BUY | 0.969 | $50.91 |
| 01-20 11:16 | Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-20? | BUY | 0.54 | $510.84 |
| 07-29 11:26 | Rays vs. Yankees | BUY | 0.63 | $95.76 |
| 07-10 10:29 | XRP Up or Down on July 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $700.00 |
| 07-04 13:25 | Cardinals vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.42 | $126.84 |
| 07-03 11:11 | White Sox vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.72 | $110.88 |
| 07-01 06:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $620.00 |