0x63C4dCbb199c5eCA30c8a002fF238aAd5DCE4671-1779125900020
0x63c4dcbb199c5eca30c8a002ff238aad5dce4671
- Realised P&L
- $-390.14
- Volume
- $88.2k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $25.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.53at 0.263US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$21.17at 0.578Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$14.85at 0.632Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-07-25?
- +$10.46at 0.331Will Deportivo Riestra AFBC vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata end in a draw?
- +$7.85at 0.437Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:07 | SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-17 02:05 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-15 19:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $24.30 |
| 09-15 18:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $120.00 |
| 09-15 10:26 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $294.00 |
| 09-15 10:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $93.30 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 17:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 17:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 09:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $406.00 |
| 09-08 23:33 | Will Deportes Recoleta win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:25 | Will Union Espanola win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 22:12 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.88 |
| 09-05 19:17 | Baylor vs. Auburn | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:46 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-09-03? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |