MatthewChen6203
0x63c2ee7bda4b3879ad4d90883fc6ba45f6c8ca53
- Realised P&L
- $-262.88
- Volume
- $181.1k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $316.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.180 | 0.150 | $196.05 | −$39.21 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.302 | $114.34 | −$79.19 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.951 | 0.999 | $3.41 | +$0.16 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.325 | $1.24 | +$0.13 |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.840 | 0.953 | $0.95 | +$0.11 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.163 | $0.16 | +$0.01 |
| Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.090 | $0.09 | −$0.09 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.085 | $0.09 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.00at 0.230Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?
- +$212.38at 0.180Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$100.30at 0.410Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
- +$91.74at 0.340Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
- +$90.51at 0.290Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 14:32 | Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $14.28 |
| 03-31 13:57 | Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $36.12 |
| 03-31 13:50 | Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.53 | $36.04 |
| 03-31 13:42 | Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.89 | $60.52 |
| 03-31 11:50 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | SELL | 0.516 | $60.37 |
| 03-31 11:28 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.659 | $77.10 |
| 03-31 09:59 | Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night? | SELL | 0.18 | $25.02 |
| 03-31 09:57 | Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night? | SELL | 0.18 | $25.20 |
| 03-31 09:55 | Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night? | SELL | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 03-31 09:45 | Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night? | BUY | 0.29 | $124.41 |
| 03-31 07:43 | Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? | SELL | 0.2 | $124.80 |
| 03-31 02:08 | Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? | BUY | 0.2 | $124.80 |
| 03-30 16:17 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | SELL | 0.92 | $123.28 |
| 03-30 05:11 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $112.56 |
| 03-22 01:13 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $78.74 |