PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MatthewChen6203

0x63c2ee7bda4b3879ad4d90883fc6ba45f6c8ca53

Realised P&L
$-262.88
Volume
$181.1k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$316.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1800.150$196.05$39.21
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5120.302$114.34$79.19
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9510.999$3.41+$0.16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.2900.325$1.24+$0.13
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.8400.953$0.95+$0.11
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.1530.163$0.16+$0.01
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1800.090$0.09$0.09
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2100.085$0.09$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 14:32Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?SELL0.17$14.28
03-31 13:57Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?BUY0.43$36.12
03-31 13:50Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?SELL0.53$36.04
03-31 13:42Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?BUY0.89$60.52
03-31 11:50Weed rescheduled by December 31?SELL0.516$60.37
03-31 11:28Weed rescheduled by December 31?BUY0.659$77.10
03-31 09:59Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night?SELL0.18$25.02
03-31 09:57Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night?SELL0.18$25.20
03-31 09:55Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night?SELL0.18$27.00
03-31 09:45Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night?BUY0.29$124.41
03-31 07:43Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?SELL0.2$124.80
03-31 02:08Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?BUY0.2$124.80
03-30 16:17Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?SELL0.92$123.28
03-30 05:11Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?BUY0.84$112.56
03-22 01:13Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$78.74