Skirk1123
0x63bf159cea68e4cdb63a66140a249d19cf8ee319
- Realised P&L
- $15.9k
- Volume
- $1.79M
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $19.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.052Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.2kat 0.137Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.4kat 0.270Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$5.2kat 0.158Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$4.5kat 0.387Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.0k |
| 06-08 15:07 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.37 | $431.42 |
| 06-07 22:23 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $51.02 |
| 05-28 13:45 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0370581461 | $127.43 |
| 05-28 13:44 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01192659 | $244.06 |
| 05-28 13:44 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.2311461291 | $393.19 |
| 05-25 14:57 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.6k |
| 05-20 00:36 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2186842343 | $145.15 |
| 05-19 13:58 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.31 | $1.1k |
| 05-19 13:56 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.4979924812 | $331.16 |
| 05-13 00:46 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.0k |
| 05-12 19:02 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.3165943184 | $289.98 |
| 05-12 12:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3279976162 | $2.5k |
| 05-11 20:26 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $39.88 |
| 05-11 20:00 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3997524051 | $1.4k |