PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Skirk1123

0x63bf159cea68e4cdb63a66140a249d19cf8ee319

Realised P&L
$15.9k
Volume
$1.79M
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$19.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.3280.926$7.1k+$4.6k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8600.971$3.6k+$411.84
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6280.715$3.0k+$362.81
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.8700.983$2.9k+$330.42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4400.725$1.8k+$712.48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4700.155$852.50$1.7k
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.2190.115$138.00$125.12
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev · Zverev0.1500.000$0.00$720.30
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$370.27
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$520.00
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$205.60
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$285.08
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$121.50
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? · No0.4000.000$0.00$1.8k
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$42.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.14$1.0k
06-08 15:07Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.37$431.42
06-07 22:23Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7$51.02
05-28 13:45Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.0370581461$127.43
05-28 13:44Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.01192659$244.06
05-28 13:44Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.2311461291$393.19
05-25 14:57US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.47$1.6k
05-20 00:36Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.2186842343$145.15
05-19 13:58Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.31$1.1k
05-19 13:56Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.4979924812$331.16
05-13 00:46Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.67$2.0k
05-12 19:02Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.3165943184$289.98
05-12 12:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3279976162$2.5k
05-11 20:26Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.15$39.88
05-11 20:00Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3997524051$1.4k