PolyBot

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Traders

Renaud83

0x63bcd17dd2e9b386cf917ed801539ae0842d5a93

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$38.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$179.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0330.050$179.07+$59.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$275.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$529.20
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$108.50
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$31.42
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$463.00
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$202.50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$12.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 00:33Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.033$119.38
06-28 19:14Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.027$202.50
06-23 22:19Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.147$529.20
04-22 15:15Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0444719945$100.00
04-16 17:34Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.15$75.00
04-15 23:14Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.18$180.00
04-15 23:13Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.18$108.00
04-14 15:43Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.19$142.22
04-13 15:01Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0379999993$50.00
04-13 15:00Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0379999986$25.00
04-13 14:54Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.038$28.50
04-13 01:31Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.23$115.00
04-12 02:07Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.21$42.00
04-11 14:04Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.18$54.00
04-07 13:11Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.63$151.20