El-Chingon
0x63b84702c33b0657def0cdc9a4920bbbd72be0dd
- Realised P&L
- $-23.93
- Volume
- $515.89
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $24.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.910 | $11.58 | +$1.65 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.615 | $8.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.060 | $4.26 | −$4.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.34at 0.522Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?
- +$5.43at 0.651Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$1.13at 0.432Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
- +$0.71at 0.740Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?
- +$0.58at 0.895Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1267843721 | $9.00 |
| 10-17 23:48 | Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? | BUY | 0.7799999921 | $9.92 |
| 10-17 23:46 | Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.51 |
| 10-17 14:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.06 |
| 10-17 11:18 | Will Trudy peak at Category 4? | SELL | 0.0252 | $0.63 |
| 10-16 02:47 | Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? | BUY | 0.7599999785 | $5.66 |
| 10-13 23:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6199999752 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 23:24 | Will Trudy peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 20:59 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.58 |
| 10-13 17:16 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.08 |
| 10-13 08:07 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0717137188 | $15.00 |
| 10-12 18:22 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 04:46 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.78 |
| 10-11 23:27 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.17 |
| 10-11 23:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |