PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

El-Chingon

0x63b84702c33b0657def0cdc9a4920bbbd72be0dd

Realised P&L
$-23.93
Volume
$515.89
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$24.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? · Yes0.7800.910$11.58+$1.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.6200.615$8.93−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18? · Yes0.1270.060$4.26−$4.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00−$5.00
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.0720.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 00:44Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?BUY0.1267843721$9.00
10-17 23:48Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?BUY0.7799999921$9.92
10-17 23:46Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?SELL0.74$5.51
10-17 14:31Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.64$4.06
10-17 11:18Will Trudy peak at Category 4?SELL0.0252$0.63
10-16 02:47Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?BUY0.7599999785$5.66
10-13 23:57Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.6199999752$9.00
10-13 23:24Will Trudy peak at Category 4?BUY0.6$15.00
10-13 20:59Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?SELL0.999$19.58
10-13 17:16Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?SELL0.3$2.08
10-13 08:07Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.0717137188$15.00
10-12 18:22Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
10-12 04:46Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?BUY0.4$2.78
10-11 23:27Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?SELL0.91$2.17
10-11 23:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.96$5.00