mostobesegoldfish
0x63b10df4bfa6d03b909ae728ee79964a594c1676
- Realised P&L
- $43.9k
- Volume
- $8.32M
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $512.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.8kat 0.284Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$48.8kat 0.054Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
- +$47.7kat 0.232Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$36.3kat 0.149Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
- +$17.5kat 0.674Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:06 | Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4195755215 | $197.69 |
| 11-01 12:11 | Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $59.04 |
| 10-31 21:13 | Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B | BUY | 0.5923860153 | $63.90 |
| 10-31 21:13 | Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B | BUY | 0.6089540427 | $29.11 |
| 10-31 18:53 | Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5293154004 | $197.16 |
| 10-30 18:51 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6899999989 | $99.96 |
| 10-30 17:24 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $99.96 |
| 10-30 15:27 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3699999988 | $99.94 |
| 10-30 13:50 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 13:16 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7123674242 | $15.05 |
| 10-30 13:16 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $54.00 |
| 10-29 20:23 | Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $63.31 |
| 10-29 15:27 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.3846200387 | $174.82 |
| 10-29 13:35 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.71 | $177.50 |
| 10-29 12:17 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $199.98 |