0x63a4910eda5d3d7dd3ebd10b43b08907fa5a5930
0x63a4910eda5d3d7dd3ebd10b43b08907fa5a5930
- Realised P&L
- $-818.34
- Volume
- $45.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,944
- Open portfolio
- $23.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,944
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.82at 0.275Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$88.14at 0.118Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?
- +$76.71at 0.241Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$73.19at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 15?
- +$50.40at 0.287Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-28 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.30 |
| 09-28 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-28 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-27 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 27? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.82 |
| 09-27 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.9123076923 | $11.86 |
| 09-27 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.30 |
| 09-27 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-27 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.96 |
| 09-27 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-26 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-26 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.64 |
| 09-26 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-26 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 09-26 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.98 |