0x63a3bfbd201d1074d33d00e21d84ff59bcba07a0
0x63a3bfbd201d1074d33d00e21d84ff59bcba07a0
- Realised P&L
- $-71.26
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 278
- Open portfolio
- $4.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded278
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 1.000 | $2.49 | +$0.50 |
| Will Micron say "Nvidia" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.780 | $2.23 | +$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.98at 0.620Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.43at 0.280Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
- +$4.33at 0.319Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?
- +$3.60at 0.410Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?
- +$3.45at 0.420Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23? | BUY | 0.6299999672 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23? | BUY | 0.7108222631 | $2.37 |
| 03-22 06:42 | Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 5% and 10%? | BUY | 0.7299999693 | $2.38 |
| 03-22 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.729999743 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 06:31 | Will Venstre win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.6199999298 | $2.12 |
| 03-22 02:32 | Will Venstre win <15 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.8399999731 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 02:28 | Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election? | BUY | 0.2899999215 | $1.92 |
| 03-22 02:24 | Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.8099999514 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 02:20 | Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 10% and 15%? | BUY | 0.796812749 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 02:17 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.739999929 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 02:13 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999225 | $2.50 |
| 03-21 21:36 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099999539 | $2.38 |
| 03-21 21:33 | Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.5899999221 | $2.50 |
| 03-20 10:16 | Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.8199999541 | $2.50 |