PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x63a3bfbd201d1074d33d00e21d84ff59bcba07a0

0x63a3bfbd201d1074d33d00e21d84ff59bcba07a0

Realised P&L
$-71.26
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
278
Open portfolio
$4.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded278
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by September 30, 2026? · No0.8001.000$2.49+$0.50
Will Micron say "Nvidia" during earnings call? · Yes0.6800.780$2.23+$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 06:59Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?BUY0.6299999672$2.50
03-22 06:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23?BUY0.75$2.50
03-22 06:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?BUY0.7108222631$2.37
03-22 06:42Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 5% and 10%?BUY0.7299999693$2.38
03-22 06:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 22?BUY0.729999743$2.50
03-22 06:31Will Venstre win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.6199999298$2.12
03-22 02:32Will Venstre win <15 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.8399999731$2.50
03-22 02:28Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?BUY0.2899999215$1.92
03-22 02:24Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.8099999514$2.50
03-22 02:20Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 10% and 15%?BUY0.796812749$2.50
03-22 02:17Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.739999929$2.50
03-22 02:13Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.5699999225$2.50
03-21 21:36Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?BUY0.6099999539$2.38
03-21 21:33Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.5899999221$2.50
03-20 10:16Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.8199999541$2.50