PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x639C1eDe198e5d1C9137DC134aaf17025F40E62c-1769256290106

0x639c1ede198e5d1c9137dc134aaf17025f40e62c

Realised P&L
$14.98
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$29.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4470.449$10.03+$0.03
Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points? · Yes0.4600.415$9.02−$0.98
Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2800.230$8.21−$1.79
Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction? · Yes0.1990.084$2.11−$2.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 1? · Yes0.1460.001$0.03−$9.97
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 1? · Yes0.4700.001$0.01−$9.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.7800.000$0.00−$20.00
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan · China0.2600.000$0.00−$9.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.4890.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.8199999967$25.00
09-30 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6599999954$20.00
09-30 18:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.9399999991$20.00
09-30 18:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.7299999807$20.00
09-30 18:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.7199999942$20.00
09-30 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.8$20.00
09-30 18:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.5299999883$20.00
09-30 18:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.02$10.00
09-30 18:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.6899999952$20.00
09-30 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.7399999734$20.00
09-30 18:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.5699999886$20.00
09-30 18:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.7799999938$20.00
09-30 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.4892583333$20.00
09-30 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.3499999948$20.00
09-30 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.74$7.40