PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AvalancheFDN

0x6396a76ba47f24920d6d4c00350d37cc96a67183

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$45.5k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$121.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? · Yes0.4780.475$88.25$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.1380.080$33.25$24.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:54Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23?BUY0.4777255113$88.76
09-22 12:51Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.1500516378$47.37
09-22 00:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?SELL0.0712028869$17.76
09-21 16:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.25$6.25
09-21 16:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.2568958912$26.82
09-21 15:38Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.5191666667$62.30
09-21 15:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.3554779565$42.65
09-21 04:33Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.8706354515$169.21
09-20 05:03Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.8827050236$41.12
09-20 04:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.8576449912$4.88
09-20 04:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.8950825131$182.78
09-20 04:43Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.1921199915$9.06
09-20 04:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.185646413$9.81
09-20 04:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.78$156.55
09-18 05:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18?SELL0.3$2.40