AvalancheFDN
0x6396a76ba47f24920d6d4c00350d37cc96a67183
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $121.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.478 | 0.475 | $88.25 | −$0.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.080 | $33.25 | −$24.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.69at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?
- +$162.10at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?
- +$129.21at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 9?
- +$99.48at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 2?
- +$91.10at 0.668Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4777255113 | $88.76 |
| 09-22 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1500516378 | $47.37 |
| 09-22 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0712028869 | $17.76 |
| 09-21 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 09-21 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2568958912 | $26.82 |
| 09-21 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5191666667 | $62.30 |
| 09-21 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3554779565 | $42.65 |
| 09-21 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8706354515 | $169.21 |
| 09-20 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8827050236 | $41.12 |
| 09-20 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8576449912 | $4.88 |
| 09-20 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8950825131 | $182.78 |
| 09-20 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.1921199915 | $9.06 |
| 09-20 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.185646413 | $9.81 |
| 09-20 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.55 |
| 09-18 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.40 |