lilianaisr2
0x6394f1c84f26bb7c05703c4c46bc3118d729ebc9
- Realised P&L
- $-13.96
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $3.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.12at 0.260Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 28?
- +$22.97at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8PM ET
- +$22.32at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$20.66at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$18.02at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:25 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.101 | $2.12 |
| 05-14 16:25 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.059 | $2.18 |
| 04-14 20:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 20:21 | USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 20:16 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 19:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 20:35 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 20:15 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-07 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |
| 04-07 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |
| 04-06 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |
| 04-06 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |
| 04-06 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |
| 04-06 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.12 |
| 04-06 06:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.32 |