MrYes
0x63928fcb3214203fa94b993cea0a61319ce2fad5
- Realised P&L
- $-256.60
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $551.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.869 | 0.738 | $233.13 | −$41.58 |
| Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.999 | $99.90 | +$12.90 |
| Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.545 | $71.26 | +$53.69 |
| Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes | 0.772 | 0.830 | $66.50 | +$4.61 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.304 | $30.40 | −$4.20 |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.265 | $26.50 | −$31.50 |
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.615 | $24.60 | −$2.60 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launch · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.00at 0.518Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$60.49at 0.830Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$43.20at 0.928Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$42.60at 0.645Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$21.97at 0.769Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 07:06 | Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2069565217 | $5.95 |
| 07-28 07:05 | Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1139215686 | $11.62 |
| 07-13 21:21 | Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.7725127949 | $61.89 |
| 07-10 06:18 | Squid FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.86 | $0.26 |
| 07-04 10:26 | Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $40.96 |
| 06-28 01:28 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $244.15 |
| 06-25 09:43 | Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 06-25 09:43 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6544857176 | $222.71 |
| 06-25 09:40 | Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 06-04 12:57 | Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 06-01 05:52 | Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.947 | $108.82 |
| 05-27 10:31 | Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $34.07 |
| 05-27 06:43 | Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 05-26 21:17 | Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $13.59 |
| 05-26 10:13 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.522 | $2.61 |