twentypercentonly
0x639225edadd03c14de35fbbcdb0bb9f169d752dd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $239.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,046
- Open portfolio
- $299.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,046
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.225 | $89.94 | +$25.98 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.058 | $53.89 | +$22.40 |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.465 | $43.74 | +$9.88 |
| Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.170 | $40.97 | +$6.41 |
| Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.018 | $38.55 | +$23.26 |
| Will Kiin win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.073 | $23.02 | +$10.19 |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.006 | $7.21 | −$32.38 |
| Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.002 | $2.00 | −$11.00 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner · Karmine Corp | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.31 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) · Karmine Corp | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.88 |
| Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) · Team Vitality | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.92at 0.181LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$166.74at 0.620LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$139.34at 0.129LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
- +$138.67at 0.307LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
- +$131.37at 0.588LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 22:10 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $19.20 |
| 10-28 22:10 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 10-28 22:03 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 10-28 20:50 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 17:30 | LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 10-25 23:48 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-25 22:45 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-25 22:03 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.57 | $17.10 |
| 10-25 21:58 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 10-25 21:32 | Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $8.70 |
| 10-25 21:29 | Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $9.00 |
| 10-25 21:07 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 10-25 20:35 | Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $6.86 |
| 10-25 20:22 | Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $8.58 |
| 10-25 20:21 | Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $7.07 |