Jeffreyz
0x63838cd6009ae79186cab25e8cbf8908ec3db007
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $38.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? · Yes | 0.593 | 0.230 | $38.81 | −$61.19 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes | 0.771 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$666.76at 0.733Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?
- +$212.05at 0.856People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
- +$112.92at 0.755Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$80.95at 0.210Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
- +$75.70at 0.860Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 00:25 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.57 | $30.23 |
| 07-11 12:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3689999906 | $19.57 |
| 06-04 14:59 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.770849338 | $500.00 |
| 05-04 05:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.2174498515 | $400.00 |
| 05-01 06:13 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.5926604924 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 06:06 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.2019398693 | $200.00 |
| 04-18 01:49 | Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April? | BUY | 0.9636113405 | $1.2k |
| 04-14 16:33 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | BUY | 0.74839831 | $1.2k |
| 04-14 16:32 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | SELL | 0.9807704999 | $1.2k |
| 04-14 05:45 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.6809957548 | $182.02 |
| 04-14 05:44 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.6012267878 | $182.02 |
| 04-12 08:52 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | BUY | 0.3384970203 | $499.25 |
| 04-12 08:52 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1828 | $22.85 |
| 04-12 08:51 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.74 | $476.40 |
| 04-10 12:22 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.9910137716 | $2.4k |