0x63835BB488B1C34f0Da99B37BB92d36Ed8FAF325-1781721306128
0x63835bb488b1c34f0da99b37bb92d36ed8faf325
- Realised P&L
- $-42.67
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $1.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.041 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Down | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.39at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$7.91at 0.755Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$7.87at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$3.93at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$3.55at 0.363Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999835 | $6.00 |
| 07-14 09:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $4.93 |
| 07-14 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 06:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 06:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 06:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 06:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |