HkBinsonZi
0x637fbf648c46e4cfcf888b0bd67b40c25a93e7fb
- Realised P&L
- $-85.89
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $140.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.22at 0.740Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$9.06at 0.763Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?
- +$5.79at 0.838Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?
- +$4.86at 0.512Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.49at 0.532Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:45 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9619589845 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.60 |
| 10-04 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.9850271634 | $50.77 |
| 10-04 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.10 |
| 10-04 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.993 | $10.04 |
| 10-04 05:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9889999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.968 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.09 |
| 10-03 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.09 |
| 10-03 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.10 |
| 10-03 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.50 |
| 10-03 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $51.02 |