IAmNotAmerican
0x637dacb2e4b2e91a21d2260adbde32724dd42392
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $277.6k
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $319.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$860.72at 0.148Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$826.65at 0.311Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?
- +$612.07at 0.290Jazz vs. Magic
- +$607.50at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
- +$540.57at 0.369Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 23:10 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $85.99 |
| 02-06 06:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0629619111 | $396.63 |
| 02-06 06:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2886023074 | $150.34 |
| 02-06 06:40 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $186.00 |
| 02-06 06:34 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $159.25 |
| 02-03 00:09 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 02-02 18:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | BUY | 0.2699999957 | $41.65 |
| 02-02 18:54 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 18:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 18:52 | US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 18:52 | US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 09:28 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $81.00 |
| 02-02 09:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $172.00 |
| 02-02 09:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 02-02 09:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.24 | $48.00 |