PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IAmNotAmerican

0x637dacb2e4b2e91a21d2260adbde32724dd42392

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$271.9k
Markets traded
545
Open portfolio
$277.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded545
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.045$47.46−$225.35
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.026$34.58−$233.87
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.029$28.26−$224.18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.285$26.60−$13.54
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.007$17.71−$207.29
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.034$15.23−$35.83
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3570.085$14.61−$46.74
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.009$11.98−$138.02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.105$10.50−$12.50
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.032$9.45−$104.55
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$8.63−$31.38
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.003$8.08−$91.91
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.013$7.92−$68.30
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.009$7.73−$92.27
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.011$7.50−$92.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 19:12Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$12.56
09-21 18:16Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 23?BUY0.665$6.65
09-21 18:06Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.23$23.00
09-21 18:05Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$41.00
09-21 09:06Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$20.70
09-21 09:04Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2014432805$109.00
09-21 09:03Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?BUY0.1198713498$25.00
09-21 09:03Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?BUY0.1920797823$50.00
09-14 20:45Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?BUY0.013$2.16
09-05 00:20Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.21$1.33
09-05 00:18Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.09$2.45
09-05 00:18Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.089$0.71
09-05 00:17Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.32$48.00
09-05 00:17Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.12$60.00
09-05 00:16Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.16$80.00