0x637193a50806264e2b18cf0e0ff8b43c40df3555
0x637193a50806264e2b18cf0e0ff8b43c40df3555
- Realised P&L
- $3.38
- Volume
- $759.86
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.554 | 0.255 | $2.30 | −$2.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.05at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$21.16at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$20.19at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$18.21at 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$16.34at 0.649Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5544554049 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4284837694 | $14.13 |
| 10-05 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 02:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3672387879 | $6.65 |
| 10-04 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5202752227 | $10.70 |
| 10-03 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $11.76 |
| 10-02 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999946 | $29.36 |
| 10-02 16:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999995 | $15.82 |
| 10-01 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0247619044 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0307207865 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999805 | $2.60 |
| 09-30 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 06:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1703225762 | $4.40 |