dj888
0x636c1e33599e82802e5a8401a83ebe1696b5f936
- Realised P&L
- $3.81
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $5.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.76at 0.106Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 12?
- +$4.14at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$2.71at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$2.11at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$1.95at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:24 | Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:18 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:29 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:05 | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart | SELL | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 11-01 10:50 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.96 |
| 11-01 10:47 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:32 | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.96 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.96 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.98 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.99 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:22 | Flames vs. Avalanche | SELL | 0.992 | $1.24 |