0x6359c1F0A9d94725cf0Bf6BbCb754a3b9C7E3E92-1774805055092
0x6359c1f0a9d94725cf0bf6bbcb754a3b9c7e3e92
- Realised P&L
- $-2.77
- Volume
- $608.06
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $23.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? · No | 0.960 | 0.985 | $12.80 | +$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 21? · No | 0.980 | 0.965 | $4.83 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 20? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $4.05 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.300 | $1.50 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26? · No | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.30at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?
- +$3.15at 0.742Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?
- +$3.07at 0.746Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19?
- +$2.55at 0.746Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?
- +$2.38at 0.745Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-20 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-20 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.48 |
| 09-19 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-19 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-18 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 09-18 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.97 |
| 09-17 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.95133 | $9.51 |
| 09-17 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 09-17 02:38 | Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-16 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-16 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 06-26 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26? | SELL | 0.986 | $5.05 |
| 06-26 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26? | SELL | 0.941 | $2.40 |
| 06-25 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26? | SELL | 0.584 | $3.00 |