multivak
0x6351de5f04a39421ad6fe5ae4c43594c42b146d2
- Realised P&L
- $-231.93
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $304.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.026 | $304.55 | −$678.03 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$227.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.84at 0.706Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:26 | Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0732485037 | $252.36 |
| 07-10 01:36 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2275 | $227.50 |
| 07-10 01:33 | Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0899775049 | $465.02 |
| 05-30 12:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 12:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 12:27 | Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0524923827 | $11.20 |