plorolo
0x634d241152780f5f4608937af41f04c0e880c6dc
- Realised P&L
- $-26.36
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $121.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No | 0.295 | 0.285 | $79.80 | −$2.72 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.235 | $23.50 | −$3.50 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $10.63 | +$0.63 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No | 0.270 | 0.065 | $6.02 | −$18.98 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.170 | 0.007 | $1.06 | −$22.94 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.04at 0.620Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $16.43 |
| 10-25 07:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $24.00 |
| 10-23 21:35 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 10-23 21:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $99.96 |
| 10-23 20:56 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 20:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 10-23 20:19 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |