PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

big38gonhawkem

0x634bf6031675ce274a0f7dcd88ef91111e9ab425

Realised P&L
$-107.33
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$825.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3120.544$571.73+$243.62
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6490.615$129.15−$7.15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.6200.645$64.50+$2.50
Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes0.6060.550$60.50−$6.20
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · No0.3240.001$0.05−$32.23
Will Trump say "Drug" during Fox interview on Wednesday? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$7.20
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? · No0.7460.000$0.00−$37.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:20Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.3289011905$27.63
10-16 18:12Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.3$4.66
10-16 17:29Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.67$6.70
10-09 22:27Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.63$6.30
10-09 22:26Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.72$17.19
10-04 18:03Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.7119999906$17.00
10-04 18:00Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.65$130.00
10-04 17:57Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.62$62.00
09-23 13:16Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5896717$235.87
06-03 19:39Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.1419050769$92.24
06-02 18:00Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.746$37.30
04-15 03:09Will Trump say "Drug" during Fox interview on Wednesday?BUY0.36$7.20
04-06 14:50Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?BUY0.4$6.00
03-15 01:41Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.505$15.15
03-15 01:39Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.532$13.30