PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x634BDa8AAd023c64610B76CD4E7F1C8fd861E88C-1775081932258

0x634bda8aad023c64610b76cd4e7f1c8fd861e88c

Realised P&L
$-81.21
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
209
Open portfolio
$468.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded209
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No0.7540.930$188.28+$35.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4140.541$160.08+$37.48
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.7130.769$113.21+$8.21
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5100.525$5.05+$0.14
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2990.056$1.49$6.51
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 Winner · No Hoodwink0.7500.000$0.00$4.00
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner · BetBoom Team0.6100.000$0.00$22.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2840.000$0.00$80.00
La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo · Samy Rivers0.6200.000$0.00$4.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5800.000$0.00$12.78
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 Winner · Gentle Mates0.8300.000$0.00$4.47
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner · Spirit Academy0.6400.000$0.00$5.00
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card) · Manuel Torres0.5700.000$0.00$9.00
Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs · HULIGANI0.4000.000$0.00$1.80
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.5410.000$0.00$10.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5309999999$32.60
09-15 23:32Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.749999985$25.00
09-09 14:42Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters PlayoffsBUY0.4$1.80
09-09 14:40Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters PlayoffsSELL0.58$1.90
09-09 13:36Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters PlayoffsBUY0.5499998778$1.80
09-08 22:31Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-08 20:32Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.7049999942$30.00
09-08 19:20Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.7009999975$50.00
09-02 07:46Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5105480709$4.91
09-02 07:35Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4$1.00
09-02 06:12Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
09-02 06:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3993131813$50.00
08-28 21:44Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?BUY0.64$2.78
08-28 19:50Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?BUY0.7199999654$2.50
08-28 14:05Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?BUY0.6299999017$5.00