0x634BDa8AAd023c64610B76CD4E7F1C8fd861E88C-1775081932258
0x634bda8aad023c64610b76cd4e7f1c8fd861e88c
- Realised P&L
- $-81.21
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $468.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.56at 0.689Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$29.64at 0.834Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$13.12at 0.649Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$10.36at 0.601Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
- +$9.71at 0.714Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5309999999 | $32.60 |
| 09-15 23:32 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.749999985 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 14:42 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.4 | $1.80 |
| 09-09 14:40 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | SELL | 0.58 | $1.90 |
| 09-09 13:36 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.5499998778 | $1.80 |
| 09-08 22:31 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 20:32 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7049999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-08 19:20 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7009999975 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 07:46 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5105480709 | $4.91 |
| 09-02 07:35 | Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 06:12 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 06:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3993131813 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 21:44 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.78 |
| 08-28 19:50 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $2.50 |
| 08-28 14:05 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.6299999017 | $5.00 |