Rutherfordr
0x634ada97a5ec882af2cddb8f05a9bef6d5f7f7ef
- Realised P&L
- $-0.90
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $39.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.16at 0.470Nets vs. Pelicans
- +$8.69at 0.530SHL: Timraa vs. Brynaes
- +$8.61at 0.437Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians
- +$8.00at 0.500Oilers vs. Kings
- +$7.89at 0.316Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Max Schoenhaus vs Luca Van Assche
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 21:21 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 07:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.00 |
| 07-10 09:29 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.00 |
| 07-03 10:53 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7299999881 | $8.60 |
| 06-30 09:34 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.9989999912 | $102.00 |
| 06-19 13:07 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998999999 | $102.80 |
| 06-05 12:07 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026? | BUY | 0.9980272563 | $102.60 |
| 05-31 04:56 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.69 |
| 05-30 11:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $78.53 |
| 05-30 11:11 | Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.50 |
| 05-30 11:06 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $90.91 |
| 05-30 10:46 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $91.00 |
| 05-30 10:44 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $90.91 |
| 05-30 10:27 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $91.00 |