PolyBot

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Traders

Rutherfordr

0x634ada97a5ec882af2cddb8f05a9bef6d5f7f7ef

Realised P&L
$-0.90
Volume
$41.8k
Markets traded
237
Open portfolio
$39.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded237
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on October 2? · No0.9991.000$30.01+$0.01
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.9960.990$9.94−$0.06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 10? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$3.00
Panthers vs. Rangers · Panthers0.4100.000$0.00−$4.22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.78
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 9? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilo · Marton Fucsovics0.3970.000$0.00−$2.70
Antalya 2: Ipek Oz vs Katarina Zavatska · Katarina Zavatska0.6700.000$0.00−$8.30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$3.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.20
Wizards vs. Magic · Wizards0.0990.000$0.00−$1.05
Madrid Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Sinja Kraus · Martina Trevisan0.2560.000$0.00−$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:37Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on October 2?BUY0.999$30.00
09-30 21:21Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$10.00
08-11 07:45US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.999$106.00
07-10 09:29Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.999$106.00
07-03 10:53Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.7299999881$8.60
06-30 09:34Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?BUY0.9989999912$102.00
06-19 13:07Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?BUY0.998999999$102.80
06-05 12:07Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?BUY0.9980272563$102.60
05-31 04:56Netanyahu out by May 31?BUY0.999$78.69
05-30 11:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?BUY0.998$78.53
05-30 11:11Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.998$12.50
05-30 11:06Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$90.91
05-30 10:46Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.993$91.00
05-30 10:44Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$90.91
05-30 10:27Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.993$91.00