0x6347398c19f8a67943ca2348fc8963ef4f0b99df
- Realised P&L
- $-8.67
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $121.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.775 | $121.88 | −$25.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.97at 0.939MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$2.99at 0.995Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
- +$2.60at 0.979Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.54at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.65at 0.993Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:20 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $147.82 |
| 05-26 13:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $146.70 |
| 05-02 01:26 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $144.75 |
| 03-31 05:13 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.939 | $138.03 |
| 03-31 05:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 03-17 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.9950538462 | $129.36 |
| 03-16 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16? | BUY | 0.993 | $129.09 |
| 03-16 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 03-16 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $128.70 |
| 03-16 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 03-15 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $126.10 |
| 03-15 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $129.61 |