PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

malakavoe

0x63469f00d2308b5e7469e9632275001f794e7c71

Realised P&L
$-27.65
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$126.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7800.715$18.33−$1.67
Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7200.580$16.11−$3.89
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8400.735$13.13−$1.87
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5200.585$11.25+$1.25
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8500.930$10.94+$0.94
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9000.965$10.72+$0.72
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8900.925$10.39+$0.39
Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6600.665$8.06+$0.06
Will Merck (MRK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8600.925$5.38+$0.38
Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6500.670$5.15+$0.15
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7800.755$4.84−$0.16
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9700.931$4.80−$0.20
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8100.665$4.10−$0.90
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8200.570$3.48−$1.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up0.8540.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 22:37Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-19 22:36Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7199999942$20.00
10-19 22:36Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-19 22:36Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8099999741$5.00
10-19 22:36Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6599999785$8.00
10-19 22:36Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5199999792$10.00
10-19 22:36Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8399999933$15.00
10-19 22:35Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-19 22:31Will Merck (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.86$5.00
10-19 22:31Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7799999938$20.00
10-19 22:30Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
10-19 22:30Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
10-19 22:30Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-19 22:30Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-19 22:29Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9$10.00