0x633Ae81B0957c6718D2b67f5788a47A864820e11-1772972517082
0x633ae81b0957c6718d2b67f5788a47a864820e11
- Realised P&L
- $-103.87
- Volume
- $104.9k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $10.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.71at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$35.06at 0.229Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$21.07at 0.328Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$20.13at 0.149Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.001US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 18:37 | Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0369999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:31 | Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 18:16 | Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0259645157 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 18:15 | Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0472442027 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.23 | $16.43 |
| 10-27 18:14 | Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1809999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 18:05 | Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0251949766 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 11:43 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 11:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 21:29 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:25 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.4591683168 | $20.87 |
| 10-25 20:51 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.329999996 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $31.41 |