0x6336161f19a12493704b963a0ed8cedd12f55784
0x6336161f19a12493704b963a0ed8cedd12f55784
- Realised P&L
- $-12.10
- Volume
- $176.65
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $0.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.380 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.358Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.400Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.24at 0.622Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:06 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999003 | $1.88 |
| 08-31 20:21 | Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 00:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 16:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 07:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 23:22 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3489998271 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 15:10 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 04:10 | Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.2392153017 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 16:47 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 08:11 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 21:07 | Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 13:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 04:16 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 08:15 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |