TheHurb--
0x6334a0af8b9ab37943a345ab8f0db52bb1e2d4a3
- Realised P&L
- $-49.51
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.003 | $1.09 | −$37.84 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.81at 0.720Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
- +$1.82at 0.029Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$0.56at 0.270Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
- +$0.01at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$0.00at 0.997Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 21:09 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-12 21:08 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 08-18 00:15 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.78 | $180.18 |
| 08-11 23:25 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $8.55 |
| 08-09 15:44 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.122008134 | $25.50 |
| 08-06 12:15 | Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-06 12:13 | Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.44 |
| 08-02 01:24 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.709999999 | $127.05 |
| 08-01 23:02 | Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.2599999884 | $14.77 |
| 08-01 22:37 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.36 |
| 08-01 22:35 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0892944584 | $46.55 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1193281012 | $58.43 |
| 07-31 02:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.083 | $3.07 |
| 07-31 01:27 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999987 | $37.36 |
| 07-31 01:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |