0x6333da6858c9f974b5f1ae5bec1885c2c407e16f
0x6333da6858c9f974b5f1ae5bec1885c2c407e16f
- Realised P&L
- $21.43
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $324.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes | 0.900 | 1.000 | $222.22 | +$22.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · No | 0.958 | 0.981 | $102.43 | +$2.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.60at 0.819Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$4.29at 0.593Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
- +$1.10at 0.814Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$0.41at 0.889Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$0.35at 0.648Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8999999969 | $200.00 |
| 09-24 14:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.942 | $82.88 |
| 09-19 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9319332867 | $82.00 |
| 09-19 12:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9577605566 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 10:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.908 | $104.00 |
| 08-27 05:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8729999919 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 05:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.85 |
| 08-26 16:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 15:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.27 |
| 08-23 11:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.14 |
| 08-22 20:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 04:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7949999897 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 20:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.22 |
| 08-20 19:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.56 |